Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.021576 0.023205 0.024899 0.026794 0.028855 0.031032 0.033506
2026-01-11 0.018952 0.021307 0.023883 0.026914 0.030394 0.034272 0.038937
2026-01-18 0.017173 0.019946 0.023094 0.026945 0.031548 0.036897 0.043617
2026-01-25 0.015927 0.018992 0.022578 0.027105 0.032699 0.039429 0.048201
2026-02-01 0.014724 0.017949 0.021816 0.026830 0.033206 0.041107 0.051737
2026-02-08 0.013644 0.016951 0.021007 0.026388 0.033404 0.042330 0.054685
2026-02-15 0.012827 0.016214 0.020451 0.026194 0.033858 0.043847 0.058044
2026-02-22 0.012076 0.015505 0.019873 0.025910 0.034137 0.045105 0.061080
2026-03-01 0.011445 0.014910 0.019399 0.025715 0.034495 0.046450 0.064273
2026-03-08 0.010881 0.014367 0.018954 0.025519 0.034817 0.047732 0.067417
2026-03-15 0.010461 0.013993 0.018712 0.025576 0.035477 0.049500 0.071344
2026-03-22 0.010027 0.013574 0.018380 0.025480 0.035895 0.050920 0.074812
2026-03-29 0.009618 0.013187 0.018094 0.025461 0.036464 0.052654 0.078974
2026-04-05 0.009268 0.012867 0.017887 0.025548 0.037198 0.054679 0.083738
2026-04-12 0.008927 0.012540 0.017652 0.025573 0.037828 0.056568 0.088396
2026-04-19 0.008648 0.012288 0.017510 0.025723 0.038646 0.058781 0.093716
2026-04-26 0.008276 0.011882 0.017118 0.025464 0.038801 0.059934 0.097324
2026-05-03 0.007889 0.011435 0.016642 0.025047 0.038672 0.060608 0.100138
2026-05-10 0.007588 0.011105 0.016327 0.024865 0.038905 0.061877 0.104053
2026-05-17 0.007286 0.010759 0.015972 0.024597 0.038977 0.062869 0.107526
2026-05-24 0.007023 0.010462 0.015679 0.024413 0.039173 0.064071 0.111445
2026-05-31 0.006775 0.010180 0.015395 0.024228 0.039352 0.065246 0.115380
2026-06-07 0.006596 0.009997 0.015262 0.024283 0.039940 0.067160 0.120829